A segunda sessão do Seminário de Estudos Avançados - Ciclo de Conferências terá lugar no dia 25 de novembro, com Eduardo Viola (Universidade de São Paulo, Universidade de Brasília e Fundação Getúlio Vargas). O tema será The International Poltical Economy of Climate Policy in 2025. Na Sala Maria de Sousa do ICS-ULisboa, a partir das 10h30. Consulte o programa completo deste ciclo de conferências.

International climate policy started with the signing of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in Rio de Janeiro in 1992. While the International Climate Regime has failed in the purpose of reducing carbon emissions (which have grown around 2% each year since 1992), it has produced a growing public awareness about global warming and a dramatic acceleration in technological innovation and deployment of low carbon energy and technologies. Today, four countries—USA, China, UK and India—are key players in global climate policy because of the following attributes: large populations, a large share of global climate emissions, a large share of global GDP, and significant technological capacities for decarbonisation. Three other countries are in a second tier of importance: Russia, Japan and Brazil. The EU has been at the vanguard of the climate regime from 1992 until 2021, but since 2022, there has been a vacuum of leadership. In 2015-2021 (from the Paris Agreement to the Glasgow Pact) there was significant progress in climate policy. However, since the Russian invasion of Ukraine (2022), climate policy has stagnated as a result of increasing geopolitical rivalry, and there are clear signs of backlash under the second Trump administration. COP 30 (Belém, November 2025) faces major difficulties and many uncertainties: global warming and extreme climate events are accelerating while the capacity for cooperation in the international system is diminishing. What are the deeper implications of this dynamic for the future of humanity?

Eduardo Viola holds a Doctorate in Political Science from the University of São Paulo (1982), and completed post-doctoral training on Global Environmental Change at the University of Colorado at Boulder (1990). He is a Senior Research Fellow at the Institute of Advanced Studies, University of São Paulo, and Professor of International Relations at the University of Brasília and Getúlio Vargas Foundation. He has been a Visiting Professor at several international universities, among them Stanford, Colorado at Boulder, Texas at Austin, Notre Dame, Amsterdam, and Lisbon. His main research areas include International Political Economy of Climate Change, Climate/Energy Policy and Politics in Brazil, Globalisation and Governance, Democracies and Autocracies, and Brazilian Foreign Policy.