Prices, wages and rents in Portugal: 14th-20th centuries
Prices, wages and rents in Portugal: 14th-20th centuries
This project extends significantly its predecessor - PWR Portugal 1500-1910 (PTDC/HAH/70938/2006) - and will be carried out by the same team. This enlargement has two justifications. One is the failure to fully implement the preceding project owing to a budget constraint relative to planned expenditure. The other relates to unforeseen practical difficulties encountered in this implementation, caused in the main by problems of access to historical sources, some of which were completely closed to researchers during the period of research. As a result, although satisfactory results have been reached after nearly three years of work, in terms both of the data generated and of the historical inferences which could be drawn, many time series are still incomplete and the geographical scope of the enquiry had to be narrowed. Évora, Algarve and Viseu had to be left out altogether. The new project we are proposing is conceived in the same way, and adopts the same methodology, procedures and motivation as the first. On the other hand, it offers three important improvements. To begin with, it will make good the gaps in the existing time series due to the earlier problems with sources, in particular those caused by the closure to researchers of the historical archive of the city of Lisbon and those associated with the lack of user guides for the Évora archives, which seriously affected our results for the 16th, 17th and 18th centuries.
Secondly, our effort will focus on the significant geographical extension from three to the planned six regions of its predecessor, thanks to the possibility of employing additional resources for the research effort to the resolution of the earlier institutional bstacles.
Lastly, attention will now be directed to an important earlier period, namely the 14th and 15th centuries, at least as regards the city of Lisbon, thanks to the re-opening of this city's historical archives to historians. This will have a dramatic impact on current interpretations of the long term economic development of Portugal, in particular of the critical period which anteceded the imperial expansion of the 16th century. At present, in one other country only have macroeconomic series gone back so far, i.e. Italy (Malanima, 2011), although work on this is currently taking place in Spain and the UK. The Project will comprise the same three parts as its predecessor. The first aims at improving and extending the data base for wages, rents and prices to the 1300-1910 time spans and to cover three as yet un-researched regions. As before, the various time series will be homogeneous, consistent and comparable with similar work in other countries, which will entail reducing them to appropriate metric units, and values in silver and grain equivalents. The second and third components are essentially analytical and will make use of the information generated by the first.
The second part will concern the essentially "domestic" aspects of the agenda. It will cover the very long term evolution of the Portuguese economy using, for the 1st time, objective indicators of welfare, such as silver wages and "welfare ratios". This will ermit a revision of several major historiographic problems, the most controversial of which is probably the impact of the 16th century overseas expansion on macroeconomic performance and the distribution of its gains. Our earlier research has produced surprising results, such as a decline of GDP per capita in the 16th century and a dynamic situation in the first half of the 18th, in contrast with its second half. The third part of the project concerns its integration in the newly expanding international network of comparative research in wages and prices history. This involves developing ties with the Global Prices and Income History Group, at UC Davis and adding a Portuguese dimension to this worldwide effort of comparative analysis from which it has been absent thus far. International comparisons have normally used Spain and Italy as a "Southern Europe" paradigm. Now, Turkey has come into the picture too (Pamuk, 2002 and 2009) but the Portuguese counterbalance is still very necessary because there are important differences here. This case study will enrich debates on the decline of the real wage Europe after 1500; the onset of the "Great Divergence" between the dynamic North-West and the lagging South and Central European nations; and the trends in income inequality between nations and within nations.
Prices;
Wages;
Standard of living;
Gross national product
This project extends significantly its predecessor - PWR Portugal 1500-1910 (PTDC/HAH/70938/2006) - and will be carried out by the same team. This enlargement has two justifications. One is the failure to fully implement the preceding project owing to a budget constraint relative to planned expenditure. The other relates to unforeseen practical difficulties encountered in this implementation, caused in the main by problems of access to historical sources, some of which were completely closed to researchers during the period of research. As a result, although satisfactory results have been reached after nearly three years of work, in terms both of the data generated and of the historical inferences which could be drawn, many time series are still incomplete and the geographical scope of the enquiry had to be narrowed. Évora, Algarve and Viseu had to be left out altogether. The new project we are proposing is conceived in the same way, and adopts the same methodology, procedures and motivation as the first. On the other hand, it offers three important improvements. To begin with, it will make good the gaps in the existing time series due to the earlier problems with sources, in particular those caused by the closure to researchers of the historical archive of the city of Lisbon and those associated with the lack of user guides for the Évora archives, which seriously affected our results for the 16th, 17th and 18th centuries.
Secondly, our effort will focus on the significant geographical extension from three to the planned six regions of its predecessor, thanks to the possibility of employing additional resources for the research effort to the resolution of the earlier institutional bstacles.
Lastly, attention will now be directed to an important earlier period, namely the 14th and 15th centuries, at least as regards the city of Lisbon, thanks to the re-opening of this city's historical archives to historians. This will have a dramatic impact on current interpretations of the long term economic development of Portugal, in particular of the critical period which anteceded the imperial expansion of the 16th century. At present, in one other country only have macroeconomic series gone back so far, i.e. Italy (Malanima, 2011), although work on this is currently taking place in Spain and the UK. The Project will comprise the same three parts as its predecessor. The first aims at improving and extending the data base for wages, rents and prices to the 1300-1910 time spans and to cover three as yet un-researched regions. As before, the various time series will be homogeneous, consistent and comparable with similar work in other countries, which will entail reducing them to appropriate metric units, and values in silver and grain equivalents. The second and third components are essentially analytical and will make use of the information generated by the first.
The second part will concern the essentially "domestic" aspects of the agenda. It will cover the very long term evolution of the Portuguese economy using, for the 1st time, objective indicators of welfare, such as silver wages and "welfare ratios". This will ermit a revision of several major historiographic problems, the most controversial of which is probably the impact of the 16th century overseas expansion on macroeconomic performance and the distribution of its gains. Our earlier research has produced surprising results, such as a decline of GDP per capita in the 16th century and a dynamic situation in the first half of the 18th, in contrast with its second half. The third part of the project concerns its integration in the newly expanding international network of comparative research in wages and prices history. This involves developing ties with the Global Prices and Income History Group, at UC Davis and adding a Portuguese dimension to this worldwide effort of comparative analysis from which it has been absent thus far. International comparisons have normally used Spain and Italy as a "Southern Europe" paradigm. Now, Turkey has come into the picture too (Pamuk, 2002 and 2009) but the Portuguese counterbalance is still very necessary because there are important differences here. This case study will enrich debates on the decline of the real wage Europe after 1500; the onset of the "Great Divergence" between the dynamic North-West and the lagging South and Central European nations; and the trends in income inequality between nations and within nations.





