The changing contexts of political behavior

The changing contexts of political behavior

One of the challenges currently faced in the study of political attitudes and behaviour is the need to give proper attention to meso - and macro-contexts. This implies reviving a research agenda that has been dormant ever since the pioneering efforts of Paul Lazarsfeld and the so-called Columbia School. That agenda consists in analyzing political behaviour as embedded in individuals' networks of social interaction and discussion, the organizations to which they belong, the mass media to which they are regularly exposed, or even the messages conveyed by parties themselves
"Context", however, should also be understood as encompassing the structural and institutional framework of political behaviour. Our project aims at answering both general questions about the effects of institutions in electoral behaviour and specific questions about the Portuguese case, such as those related to variations between voting patterns in legislative and presidential elections or the impact of the potential reform of the electoral system that will be at the top of the political agenda in the next years.

Estatuto: 
Participant entity
Financed: 
No
Rede: 
CSES/CNEP
Keywords: 
electoral behavior
political culture
contextual analysis

One of the challenges currently faced in the study of political attitudes and behaviour is the need to give proper attention to meso - and macro-contexts. This implies reviving a research agenda that has been dormant ever since the pioneering efforts of Paul Lazarsfeld and the so-called Columbia School. That agenda consists in analyzing political behaviour as embedded in individuals' networks of social interaction and discussion, the organizations to which they belong, the mass media to which they are regularly exposed, or even the messages conveyed by parties themselves
"Context", however, should also be understood as encompassing the structural and institutional framework of political behaviour. Our project aims at answering both general questions about the effects of institutions in electoral behaviour and specific questions about the Portuguese case, such as those related to variations between voting patterns in legislative and presidential elections or the impact of the potential reform of the electoral system that will be at the top of the political agenda in the next years.

Objectivos: 
<p>This project aims at giving continuity to a previous experience of social-scientific data collection on electoral behaviour and political attitudes in Portugal, introducing a crucial innovation: a long-term panel design, through which the same representative sample of the electorate is surveyed at different moments of the electoral cycle. The data thus generated will, for the very first time, allow the research team - and, in the future, other scholars - to examine patterns of change and continuity among the Portuguese electorate at the individual level and across different types of elections. Theoretically, we are interested in examining the role of "contextual influences" in attitudes and behaviour. The influence of different types of contexts will be analyzed: the different interpersonal and impersonal sources of information in which voters are embedded; the different institutional frameworks of political competition and policy-making involved in each concrete election; and the more immediate political and electoral background against which each election takes place.</p>
State of the art: 
The study of electoral behavior and political culture in Portugal received an impulse in recent years, the result of the research project ?Portuguese Electoral Behavior and Political Attitudes in a Comparative Perspective?, conducted at the Instituto de Ci&ecirc;ncias Sociais da Universidade de Lisboa (ICS). From the point of view of data collection, this project aimed not only at gathering the scarce relevant survey data available on elections and political attitudes in Portugal since 1975, but also at elaborating the first academic post-electoral survey specifically intended to integrate Portugal in the scientific tradition of &quot;national election studies&quot; initiated by the American National Election Studies (ANES). From a social-scientific and theoretical point of view, the project?s goal was to determine whether and to what extent did the Portuguese case fit today two overall patterns found in most industrialized democracies: one of increased relevance of short-term explanations of voting choices in detriment of other (long-term) factors such as social class, religiosity, unionization, or party identification; and one of rising ?political malaise?, manifesting itself in feelings of political distrust, disaffection, and discontent in relation to politics, political institutions, and officeholders. <br /><br />Several relevant substantive findings have emerged. Portugal is a case where the social roots of partisanship are especially weak, even when compared to other Southern European democracies. Furthermore, arguably more than in any other previous elections on which we have data available, affect towards party leaders has become the most crucial element in voters? considerations when it came to decide in which party to vote. However, comparative analysis also suggests that factors related to the ?political supply? ? types of parties in the party system and its level of ideological polarization ? add important nuances to this general conclusion about the relative fickleness of the Portuguese electorate in 2002. On the one hand, not all parties seem to be chosen by voters equally on the basis of leadership and economic evaluations, with clear variations emerging in terms of parties? ideological program and electoral strategies and goals. On the other hand, across countries and time, voters? level of anchoring in stable and cogent ideological orientations also varies according to the extent to which parties tend to present clear policy alternatives to voters. <br /><br />Important findings were also obtained in what concerns the symptoms and manifestations of ?political malaise? in contemporary Portugal. Such malaise does not seem to involve any kind of delegitimization of the democratic regime or of its institutions. Instead, it seems to be formed by feelings of strong political ?disaffection? ? understood as a feeling of distance and mutual disinterest between the realm of politics and citizens ? both prevailing among large majorities of the electorate, particularly among women. This, in turn, seems to be related to the particularly low levels of political and civic activism among the Portuguese citizenry. However, again, this general conclusion coexists with preliminary findings pointing out how levels of disaffection seem to be decreasing, a phenomenon linked to the continuing experience under democratic rule and the rising educational resources.
André Freire
Michael Baum
Ana Espírito-Santo
Carlos Jalali
Coordenador ICS 
Start Date: 
30/05/2006
End Date: 
01/12/2009
Duração: 
43 meses
Closed