The Personalisation of Politics in the 21st Century - A Research Project on Electoral Democracy

The Personalisation of Politics in the 21st Century - A Research Project on Electoral Democracy

This project is situated in the comparative electoral behaviour field and seeks to incorporate into it several strands of comparative politics which have not been adequately modeled until now. Previous research I have conducted, namely on the relationship between party type and leader effects, party dealignment and the evaluation of leaders, as well as on political leadership forms the basis for the project (see publications document). Using a comparative and multilevel methodological approach the significance of leader effects for the quality of democracy will be analysed.

Studies of the relationship between leaders, their parties and political institutions have stated that democracies have become personalised, i.e. that irrespective of the formal constitutional position party leaders rather than political parties are now the decisive actors in the political system. (Poguntke and Webb, 2005; McAllister, 2007). Those who stress the personalization thesis see this phenomenon as a corollary of modernization and the individualization of society (Thomassen, 2005). In such a context, voting choices are based on short-term issues and leaders rather than relying on party as heuristics (Dalton et. al., 2000, Mair et. al., 2004). Focusing on the personalization of politics is important because leaders function as bellwethers for the quality of democracy: they are a key variable in understanding the nature of the relationship between electors, parties and political institutions.

Indeed, in hallmark studies the importance of leaders has been interpreted as a signal of a decrease in the political content of electoral choices (Campbell, 1966; Nie, et al., 1976). In this view, using leaders as a cue for voting symbolizes a decline in the accountability between voters and politicians: the former are wooed by appealing media images rather than through party political mobilisation. However, that is only true if empirically it is determined that leaders matter because of their personal characteristics, or if they matter especially for those without political knowledge. On the contrary, if we find that leaders matter because of the political positions they hold, their representation of a given party, or for the politically informed, then we must conclude that leader effects are a sign of a politicized, rational electorate. In this scenario, a personalization of politics would signify a relationship between the electorate and politicians whereby the latter are closely monitored.

Project The Personalisation of Politics in the 21st Century- A Research Project on Electoral Democracy - PTDC/CPJ-CPO/120295/2010 - Financed by FCT

 

Estatuto: 
Proponent entity
Financed: 
Yes
Entidades: 
Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia
Keywords: 

Political Leaders;

Elections;

European Democracies; 

Voting Contexts

This project is situated in the comparative electoral behaviour field and seeks to incorporate into it several strands of comparative politics which have not been adequately modeled until now. Previous research I have conducted, namely on the relationship between party type and leader effects, party dealignment and the evaluation of leaders, as well as on political leadership forms the basis for the project (see publications document). Using a comparative and multilevel methodological approach the significance of leader effects for the quality of democracy will be analysed.

Studies of the relationship between leaders, their parties and political institutions have stated that democracies have become personalised, i.e. that irrespective of the formal constitutional position party leaders rather than political parties are now the decisive actors in the political system. (Poguntke and Webb, 2005; McAllister, 2007). Those who stress the personalization thesis see this phenomenon as a corollary of modernization and the individualization of society (Thomassen, 2005). In such a context, voting choices are based on short-term issues and leaders rather than relying on party as heuristics (Dalton et. al., 2000, Mair et. al., 2004). Focusing on the personalization of politics is important because leaders function as bellwethers for the quality of democracy: they are a key variable in understanding the nature of the relationship between electors, parties and political institutions.

Indeed, in hallmark studies the importance of leaders has been interpreted as a signal of a decrease in the political content of electoral choices (Campbell, 1966; Nie, et al., 1976). In this view, using leaders as a cue for voting symbolizes a decline in the accountability between voters and politicians: the former are wooed by appealing media images rather than through party political mobilisation. However, that is only true if empirically it is determined that leaders matter because of their personal characteristics, or if they matter especially for those without political knowledge. On the contrary, if we find that leaders matter because of the political positions they hold, their representation of a given party, or for the politically informed, then we must conclude that leader effects are a sign of a politicized, rational electorate. In this scenario, a personalization of politics would signify a relationship between the electorate and politicians whereby the latter are closely monitored.

Project The Personalisation of Politics in the 21st Century- A Research Project on Electoral Democracy - PTDC/CPJ-CPO/120295/2010 - Financed by FCT

 

Objectivos: 
This project is situated in the comparative electoral behaviour field and seeks to incorporate into it several strands of comparative politics which have not been adequately modeled until now. Previous research I have conducted, namely on the relationship between party type and leader effects, party dealignment and the evaluation of leaders, as well as on political leadership forms the basis for the project (see publications document). Using a comparative and multilevel methodological approach the significance of leader effects for the quality of democracy will be analysed. <p> </p>
State of the art: 
The attempt to measure the impact of leaders has been everything but consensual. Some authors contend that supposedly parliamentary elections are now effectively presidential contests (Bean and Mughan, 1989; Clarke et.al. 2004; Mughan, 2000; Stewart and Clarke, 2000). However, this claim is far from uncontested. Some studies cast doubt on whether evaluations of leaders have ever had much impact on either individual voters or election outcomes (King, 2002; Bartle 2002, Bartle and Crewe, 2002). Also, the trend of personalisation implies the growing importance of leaders. The few such studies that have actually empirically tested the claim that leader evaluations have become more important over time reach quite cautious conclusions (Curtice and Holmberg, 2005, Brettschneider et. al. 2006). <p>Most of the existing studies deal with the question of magnitude. More recently, the research agenda has taken steps in the direction of contexts (Barisione, 2009). At the macro level, it has been found that leaders matter more in presidential and semi-presidential regimes than in parliamentary ones. In a parliamentary context, as might be expected, leadership evaluations appear to be more important where a majoritarian electoral system is in place or where the battle for power is focused on two parties (Curtice and Hunjan, 2007), or on the type of parties which exist, i.e. catch-all vs. electoralist (Lobo, 2008). At the micro level, early studies which focused on the US posed the hypothesis that those who relied on leaders as cues for voting would be those voters with less information about the political process. A parallel hypothesis which has been tested involves the degree of exposure to the media by electors, with those most exposed expected to exhibit higher leader effects. However, the consensus on this issue has not been reached either (Kroh, 2004). </p>
Parceria: 
Unintegrated
Marco Lisi
Patrício Costa
Coordenador ICS 
Referência externa 
PROJ8/2012
Start Date: 
01/02/2012
End Date: 
31/07/2015
Duração: 
41 meses
Closed